Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Josh Hokit won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 24, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Hokit wins(63.8%)
Actual result: Josh Hokit wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Hokit has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Denzel Freeman (53.5%).
- Denzel Freeman has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Hokit
Red Corner
VS
Denzel Freeman
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
28
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh Hokit
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Max Gimenis · Nov 25Denzel Freeman
oldest →latest
W
vs Marek Bujlo · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh HokitMetricDenzel Freeman
9.25
Strikes / min
2.45
6.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.40
44%
Strike defense
50%
3.89
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.44Δ 3.39 — meaningful gap-0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh HokitDenzel Freeman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Hokit(2 fights)Denzel Freeman(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
Josh Hokit
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2
Denzel Freeman
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2