Welterweight
3 Rounds
Johny Hendricks won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 5, 2012·East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupJosh Koscheck: WrestlervsJohny Hendricks: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Johny Hendricks wins(63.1%)
Actual result: Johny Hendricks wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Koscheck enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Josh Koscheck has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
- Josh Koscheck has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Koscheck
Red Corner
VS
Johny Hendricks
Blue Corner
+123
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-133
(57%)
48
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh KoscheckL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mike Pierce · Feb 12L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Feb 13L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Nov 13L
SUBvs Jake Ellenberger · Feb 15L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Mar 15Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh KoscheckMetricJohny Hendricks
1.79
Strikes / min
3.49
2.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.99
63%
Strike defense
53%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
3.83
64%
Takedown defense
63%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.48evenly matched on net striking-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh KoscheckJohny Hendricks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Koscheck(9 fights)Johny Hendricks(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.334.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-36.036.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Josh Koscheck
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19