Welterweight
3 Rounds
Josh Neer won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2011·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Keith Wisniewski wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Josh Neer wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Neer has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Keith Wisniewski has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Neer
Red Corner
VS
Keith Wisniewski
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
43
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh NeerL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Duane Ludwig · Jan 12L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Jun 12L
SUBvs Justin Edwards · Oct 12L
vs Court McGee · Feb 13Keith WisniewskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Chris Clements · Apr 12L
vs Ivan Jorge · Sep 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh NeerMetricKeith Wisniewski
3.29
Strikes / min
2.32
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.86
58%
Strike defense
42%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
1.57
46%
Takedown defense
78%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.34Δ 2.20 — meaningful gap-2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Neer(5 fights)Keith Wisniewski(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Josh Neer
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Keith Wisniewski
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights3