Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Josh Parisian won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 25, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJosh Parisian: Pressure fightervsAlan Baudot: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Alan Baudot wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Josh Parisian wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alan Baudot enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Parisian is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alan Baudot has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Alan Baudot has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Parisian
Red Corner
VS
Alan Baudot
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
36
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh ParisianL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roque Martinez · Jun 21L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Dec 21L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 23L
SUBvs Martin Buday · Aug 23L
KOvs Robelis Despaigne · Mar 24Alan BaudotL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Oct 20L
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · Jul 21L
vs Parker Porter · Feb 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh ParisianMetricAlan Baudot
4.55
Strikes / min
5.36
4.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.82
41%
Strike defense
46%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.00
46%
Takedown defense
62%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh ParisianAlan Baudot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Parisian(7 fights)Alan Baudot(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.5-23.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Josh Parisian
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7
Alan Baudot
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4