Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Martin Buday won · SUB R1
JP
MB
Josh ParisianvsMartin Buday
UFC Event · Saturday, August 12, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJosh Parisian: Pressure fightervsMartin Buday: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Martin Buday wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Martin Buday wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Buday enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Martin Buday has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Martin Buday has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Parisian
Red Corner
VS
Martin Buday
Blue Corner
+164
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-198
(66%)
36
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh ParisianL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roque Martinez · Jun 21L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Dec 21W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jun 22L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 23L
KOvs Robelis Despaigne · Mar 24Martin BudayW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 23L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Dec 23W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 24W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh ParisianMetricMartin Buday
4.55
Strikes / min
4.39
4.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.49
41%
Strike defense
55%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.15
46%
Takedown defense
93%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh ParisianMartin Buday
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Parisian(7 fights)Martin Buday(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-53.353.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Josh Parisian
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7
Martin Buday
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8