Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Josh Parisian won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 19, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Parisian wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Josh Parisian wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Parisian enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Roque Martinez has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Josh Parisian has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Parisian
Red Corner
VS
Roque Martinez
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
36
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
5'10"
200.66 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh ParisianL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Dec 21W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jun 22L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 23L
SUBvs Martin Buday · Aug 23L
KOvs Robelis Despaigne · Mar 24Roque MartinezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Sep 20L
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh ParisianMetricRoque Martinez
4.55
Strikes / min
3.28
4.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.90
41%
Strike defense
56%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.38
46%
Takedown defense
53%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh ParisianRoque Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Parisian(7 fights)Roque Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.0-13.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Josh Parisian
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7
Roque Martinez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3