Welterweight
3 Rounds
Adam Fugitt won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJosh Quinlan: StrikervsAdam Fugitt: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Adam Fugitt wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Adam Fugitt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adam Fugitt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Quinlan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Adam Fugitt has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Josh Quinlan has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adam Fugitt (53.5%).
- Adam Fugitt has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Quinlan
Red Corner
VS
Adam Fugitt
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+114
(47%)
33
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh QuinlanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jason Witt · Aug 22L
vs Trey Waters · Apr 23L
KOvs Danny Barlow · Feb 24Adam FugittL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Jul 22W
KOvs Yusaku Kinoshita · Feb 23L
SUBvs Mike Malott · Jun 23L
KOvs Islam Dulatov · Jul 25L
KOvs Ty Miller · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh QuinlanMetricAdam Fugitt
3.57
Strikes / min
4.88
6.38
Strikes absorbed / min
5.33
53%
Strike defense
51%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
1.63
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.81Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh QuinlanAdam Fugitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Quinlan(4 fights)Adam Fugitt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.77.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-252.0252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Josh Quinlan
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Adam Fugitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6