Welterweight
3 Rounds
Trey Waters won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 29, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJosh Quinlan: StrikervsTrey Waters: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Josh Quinlan wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Trey Waters wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trey Waters has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Quinlan
Red Corner
VS
Trey Waters
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh QuinlanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jason Witt · Aug 22L
KOvs Danny Barlow · Feb 24L
vs Adam Fugitt · Jun 24Trey Waters
oldest →latest
W
vs Billy Ray Goff · May 24L
KOvs Sam Patterson · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh QuinlanMetricTrey Waters
3.57
Strikes / min
6.39
6.38
Strikes absorbed / min
5.83
53%
Strike defense
55%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.40
71%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.81Δ 3.37 — meaningful gap+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh QuinlanTrey Waters
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Quinlan(4 fights)Trey Waters(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Josh Quinlan
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Trey Waters
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3