Middleweight
3 Rounds
Josh Samman won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 13, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kevin Casey wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Josh Samman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Samman is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Kevin Casey has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Kevin Casey has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kevin Casey (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Samman
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Casey
Blue Corner
-455
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+405
(20%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'11"
200.66 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh SammanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Eddie Gordon · Dec 14W
SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jul 15L
SUBvs Tamdan McCrory · Dec 15L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jul 16Kevin CaseyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Jul 15L
KOvs Rafael Natal · Jan 16L
KOvs Sam Alvey · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh SammanMetricKevin Casey
2.08
Strikes / min
2.27
2.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.76
34%
Strike defense
46%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.79
33%
Takedown defense
27%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-1.49
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Samman(5 fights)Kevin Casey(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Josh Samman
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Kevin Casey
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4