Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tamdan McCrory won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 19, 2015·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Samman wins(52.7%)
Actual result: Tamdan McCrory wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Samman is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Tamdan McCrory has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Tamdan McCrory threatens submissions; Josh Samman has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Tamdan McCrory has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tamdan McCrory (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Samman
Red Corner
VS
Tamdan McCrory
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh Samman
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kevin Casey · Apr 13W
KOvs Eddie Gordon · Dec 14W
SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jul 15L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jul 16Tamdan McCroryL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Krzysztof Jotko · Jun 16L
KOvs Nate Marquardt · Oct 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh SammanMetricTamdan McCrory
2.08
Strikes / min
2.07
2.47
Strikes absorbed / min
1.60
34%
Strike defense
46%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
2.28
33%
Takedown defense
33%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh SammanTamdan McCrory
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Samman(5 fights)Tamdan McCrory(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+56.4-56.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Josh Samman
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Tamdan McCrory
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3