Lightweight
3 Rounds
Drew Dober won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 29, 2017·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupJoshua Burkman: WrestlervsDrew Dober: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Burkman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joshua Burkman
Red Corner
VS
Drew Dober
Blue Corner
+255
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-310
(76%)
46
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua BurkmanL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs KJ Noons · Feb 16L
vs Paul Felder · May 16L
vs Zak Ottow · Oct 16L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Mar 17L
SUBvs Alex Morono · Feb 18Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua BurkmanMetricDrew Dober
2.69
Strikes / min
4.48
3.13
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
51%
Strike defense
53%
2.53
TDs / 15 min
0.61
72%
Takedown defense
58%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joshua BurkmanDrew Dober
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Burkman(8 fights)Drew Dober(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-46.446.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Joshua Burkman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26