Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Burkman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 6, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoshua Burkman: WrestlervsKJ Noons: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Joshua Burkman wins(61.6%)
Actual result: Joshua Burkman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Burkman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- KJ Noons has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Joshua Burkman
Red Corner
VS
KJ Noons
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
46
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua BurkmanL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Paul Felder · May 16L
vs Zak Ottow · Oct 16L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Mar 17L
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 17L
SUBvs Alex Morono · Feb 18KJ Noons
oldest →latest
L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 13W
vs George Sotiropoulos · Oct 13W
KOvs Sam Stout · Apr 14L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · May 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua BurkmanMetricKJ Noons
2.69
Strikes / min
3.68
3.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
51%
Strike defense
65%
2.53
TDs / 15 min
0.08
72%
Takedown defense
68%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joshua BurkmanKJ Noons
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Burkman(8 fights)KJ Noons(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.234.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-85.085.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Joshua Burkman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
KJ Noons
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5