Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, May 29, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoshua Burkman: WrestlervsPaul Felder: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Paul Felder wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Burkman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Joshua Burkman
Red Corner
VS
Paul Felder
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-290
(74%)
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua BurkmanL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs KJ Noons · Feb 16L
vs Zak Ottow · Oct 16L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Mar 17L
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 17L
SUBvs Alex Morono · Feb 18Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18W
vs James Vick · Feb 19W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua BurkmanMetricPaul Felder
2.69
Strikes / min
3.70
3.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
51%
Strike defense
48%
2.53
TDs / 15 min
0.29
72%
Takedown defense
64%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joshua BurkmanPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Burkman(8 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.035.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-20.020.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Joshua Burkman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Paul Felder
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15