Welterweight
3 Rounds
Zak Ottow won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2016·Portland, Oregon, USA, USA
Style matchupJoshua Burkman: WrestlervsZak Ottow: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Zak Ottow wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Zak Ottow wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Burkman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Joshua Burkman has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joshua Burkman
Red Corner
VS
Zak Ottow
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
46
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua BurkmanL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs KJ Noons · Feb 16L
vs Paul Felder · May 16L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Mar 17L
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 17L
SUBvs Alex Morono · Feb 18Zak Ottow
oldest →latest
L
vs Li Jingliang · Nov 17W
KOvs Mike Pyle · Mar 18L
KOvs Sage Northcutt · Jul 18W
vs Dwight Grant · Dec 18L
KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua BurkmanMetricZak Ottow
2.69
Strikes / min
2.63
3.13
Strikes absorbed / min
2.73
51%
Strike defense
58%
2.53
TDs / 15 min
0.97
72%
Takedown defense
57%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joshua BurkmanZak Ottow
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Burkman(8 fights)Zak Ottow(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.728.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.048.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Joshua Burkman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Zak Ottow
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8