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Flyweight
3 Rounds
6 days away
Elo1595
Elo1522

Joshua VanvsAlexandre PantojaUFC Prediction

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Saturday, September 19, 2026Los Angeles, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupJoshua Van: Pressure fightervsAlexandre Pantoja: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Joshua Van
Red Corner
VS
Alexandre Pantoja
Blue Corner
-122
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1595
Elo
1522
24
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25
W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25
W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25
W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25
W
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · May 26
latest
Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →
W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23
W
vs Steve Erceg · May 24
W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24
W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joshua VanMetricAlexandre Pantoja
8.43
Strikes / min
4.38
5.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
58%
Strike defense
49%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
2.79
75%
Takedown defense
69%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.61Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap+0.50
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901520155015801610← oldermost recent →
Joshua Van(10 fights)Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO81%

Historical win share: Joshua Van earned 40% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission19%

Historical win share: Alexandre Pantoja earned 43% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Joshua Van

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights11

Alexandre Pantoja

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18