Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (52.9%).
- Charles Johnson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25W
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · May 26 Charles Johnson
oldest →W
KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Jun 26W
SUBvs Eduardo Chapolin · Aug 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua VanMetricCharles Johnson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.61Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joshua VanCharles Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Van(10 fights)Charles Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +65.2|Blue -65.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joshua VanTargetCharles Johnson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Charles Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:15
44Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 2Joshua Van edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Charles Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
