Flyweight
3 Rounds
Charles Johnson won · KO/TKO R3
JV
CJ
Joshua VanvsCharles Johnson
UFC Event · Saturday, July 13, 2024Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupJoshua Van: Pressure fightervsCharles Johnson: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Joshua Van wins(68.5%)
Actual result: Charles Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (52.9%).
- Charles Johnson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Joshua Van
Red Corner
VS
Charles Johnson
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
24
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'9"
165.1 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Durden · Dec 24W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25Charles Johnson
oldest →latest
W
vs Sumudaerji · Oct 24L
vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25W
KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua VanMetricCharles Johnson
8.43
Strikes / min
4.77
5.82
Strikes absorbed / min
4.02
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
0.51
75%
Takedown defense
69%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.61Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joshua VanCharles Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Van(10 fights)Charles Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.9-39.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Charles Johnson
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14