Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Van won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 13, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoshua Van: Pressure fightervsFelipe Bunes: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Joshua Van wins(77.3%)
Actual result: Joshua Van wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joshua Van has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Felipe Bunes has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Joshua Van
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Bunes
Blue Corner
-298
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
24
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Durden · Dec 24W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25Felipe BunesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jose Johnson · Jan 25L
vs Rafael Estevam · Aug 25L
vs Edgar Chairez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua VanMetricFelipe Bunes
8.43
Strikes / min
3.17
5.82
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
58%
Strike defense
47%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
1.08
75%
Takedown defense
40%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.61Δ 4.01 — meaningful gap-1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joshua VanFelipe Bunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Van(10 fights)Felipe Bunes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.3-29.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Felipe Bunes
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4