Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Van won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 8, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoshua Van: Pressure fightervsRei Tsuruya: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Joshua Van wins(68.1%)
Actual result: Joshua Van wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joshua Van has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joshua Van
Red Corner
VS
Rei Tsuruya
Blue Corner
-156
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+132
(43%)
24
Age
23
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edgar Chairez · Sep 24W
vs Cody Durden · Dec 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25Rei Tsuruya
oldest →latest
W
vs Carlos Hernandez · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua VanMetricRei Tsuruya
8.43
Strikes / min
2.24
5.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.01
58%
Strike defense
42%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
5.06
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.61Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joshua VanRei Tsuruya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Van(10 fights)Rei Tsuruya(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.2-40.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-161.0161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Rei Tsuruya
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights2