Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Journey Newson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 7, 2022·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Fernie Garcia wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Journey Newson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Journey Newson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Fernie Garcia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Journey Newson has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Journey Newson
Red Corner
VS
Fernie Garcia
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Journey NewsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 19W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Feb 20L
KOvs Randy Costa · Sep 20L
vs Sergey Morozov · Dec 22L
SUBvs Marcus McGhee · Apr 23Fernie GarciaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Brady Hiestand · Nov 22L
vs Rinya Nakamura · Aug 23L
KOvs Hyder Amil · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Journey NewsonMetricFernie Garcia
2.64
Strikes / min
2.04
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.79
64%
Strike defense
48%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.28
43%
Takedown defense
50%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-1.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Journey NewsonFernie Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Journey Newson(6 fights)Fernie Garcia(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.814.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Journey Newson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Fernie Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4