Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Marcus McGhee won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 29, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marcus McGhee wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Marcus McGhee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcus McGhee has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Journey Newson
Red Corner
VS
Marcus McGhee
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
+138
(42%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Journey Newson
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 19W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Feb 20L
KOvs Randy Costa · Sep 20W
vs Fernie Garcia · May 22L
vs Sergey Morozov · Dec 22Marcus McGhee
oldest →latest
W
KOvs JP Buys · Aug 23W
KOvs Gaston Bolanos · Jan 24W
vs Jonathan Martinez · Nov 24L
vs Petr Yan · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Journey NewsonMetricMarcus McGhee
2.64
Strikes / min
5.50
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
64%
Strike defense
57%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.31
43%
Takedown defense
90%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Journey NewsonMarcus McGhee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Journey Newson(6 fights)Marcus McGhee(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.114.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Journey Newson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Marcus McGhee
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5