Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Randy Costa won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, September 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Journey Newson wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Randy Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Randy Costa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Randy Costa (52.9%).
- Randy Costa has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Journey Newson
Red Corner
VS
Randy Costa
Blue Corner
-137
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
37
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Journey NewsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 19W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Feb 20W
vs Fernie Garcia · May 22L
vs Sergey Morozov · Dec 22L
SUBvs Marcus McGhee · Apr 23Randy CostaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Davis · Apr 19W
KOvs Boston Salmon · Oct 19L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 21L
KOvs Tony Kelley · Dec 21L
SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Journey NewsonMetricRandy Costa
2.64
Strikes / min
6.53
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
7.58
64%
Strike defense
58%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.00
43%
Takedown defense
50%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Journey NewsonRandy Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Journey Newson(6 fights)Randy Costa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-113.0113.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Journey Newson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Randy Costa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6