Flyweight
3 Rounds
Cody Durden won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 25, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJP Buys: Submission grapplervsCody Durden: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Cody Durden wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Cody Durden wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- JP Buys enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cody Durden enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cody Durden has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cody Durden has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
JP Buys
Red Corner
VS
Cody Durden
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
30
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
JP BuysL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Mar 21L
vs Montel Jackson · Sep 21L
KOvs Marcus McGhee · Aug 23Cody DurdenL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Sep 24L
vs Joshua Van · Dec 24L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
JP BuysMetricCody Durden
1.88
Strikes / min
3.24
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
40%
Strike defense
50%
1.55
TDs / 15 min
3.99
25%
Takedown defense
56%
2.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.14evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
JP BuysCody Durden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
JP Buys(4 fights)Cody Durden(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.516.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
JP Buys
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4
Cody Durden
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14