Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marcus McGhee won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 12, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJP Buys: Submission grapplervsMarcus McGhee: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Marcus McGhee wins(56.6%)
Actual result: Marcus McGhee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- JP Buys enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marcus McGhee is a KO finisher (50% of wins). JP Buys has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Marcus McGhee has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marcus McGhee has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
JP Buys
Red Corner
VS
Marcus McGhee
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-355
(78%)
30
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
JP BuysL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Mar 21L
vs Montel Jackson · Sep 21L
KOvs Cody Durden · Jun 22Marcus McGhee
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Journey Newson · Apr 23W
KOvs Gaston Bolanos · Jan 24W
vs Jonathan Martinez · Nov 24L
vs Petr Yan · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
JP BuysMetricMarcus McGhee
1.88
Strikes / min
5.50
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
40%
Strike defense
57%
1.55
TDs / 15 min
0.31
25%
Takedown defense
90%
2.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.14Δ 3.00 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
JP BuysMarcus McGhee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
JP Buys(4 fights)Marcus McGhee(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-62.462.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+308.0-308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
JP Buys
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4
Marcus McGhee
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5