Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Juan Espino won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, September 26, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Juan Espino wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Juan Espino wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Juan Espino threatens submissions; Jeff Hughes has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Jeff Hughes has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Juan Espino
Red Corner
VS
Jeff Hughes
Blue Corner
-305
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+233
(30%)
45
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Juan Espino
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Justin Frazier · Nov 18L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 21Jeff HughesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Maurice Greene · Mar 19L
vs Raphael Pessoa Nunes · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Juan EspinoMetricJeff Hughes
2.38
Strikes / min
3.95
1.95
Strikes absorbed / min
3.67
40%
Strike defense
60%
8.93
TDs / 15 min
0.71
50%
Takedown defense
45%
2.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Juan EspinoJeff Hughes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Juan Espino(3 fights)Jeff Hughes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.0-40.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+330.0-330.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Juan Espino
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights3
Jeff Hughes
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3