Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jacqueline Cavalcanti won · U-DEC R3
JA
JC
Julia AvilavsJacqueline Cavalcanti
UFC Event · Saturday, February 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Julia Avila wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacqueline Cavalcanti enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Julia Avila
Red Corner
VS
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Blue Corner
+520
(16%)
Vegas Odds
-720
(88%)
38
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julia Avila
oldest →latest
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 19W
KOvs Gina Mazany · Jun 20L
vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 20W
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jun 21L
SUBvs Miesha Tate · Dec 23Jacqueline CavalcantiW4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Zarah Fairn · Sep 23W
vs Josiane Nunes · Aug 24W
vs Nora Cornolle · Sep 24W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julia AvilaMetricJacqueline Cavalcanti
2.81
Strikes / min
5.65
3.28
Strikes absorbed / min
3.17
55%
Strike defense
68%
0.63
TDs / 15 min
0.00
52%
Takedown defense
88%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap+2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julia AvilaJacqueline Cavalcanti
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julia Avila(6 fights)Jacqueline Cavalcanti(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.337.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+301.0-301.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Julia Avila
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5