Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Julia Polastri won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 12, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJulia Polastri: Pressure fightervsCory McKenna: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Julia Polastri wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Julia Polastri wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julia Polastri has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cory McKenna has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Julia Polastri has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Julia Polastri
Red Corner
VS
Cory McKenna
Blue Corner
-108
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-112
(53%)
28
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
147.32 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julia Polastri
oldest →latest
L
vs Josefine Knutsson · Jun 24L
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 25W
KOvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 25Cory McKenna
oldest →latest
W
vs Kay Hansen · Nov 20L
vs Elise Reed · Mar 22W
SUBvs Miranda Granger · Aug 22W
vs Cheyanne Vlismas · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julia PolastriMetricCory McKenna
6.22
Strikes / min
2.94
5.18
Strikes absorbed / min
3.68
59%
Strike defense
46%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
2.00
57%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julia PolastriCory McKenna
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julia Polastri(4 fights)Cory McKenna(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.328.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Julia Polastri
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4
Cory McKenna
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach58.0"
Fights6