Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Julian Erosa won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 4, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJulian Erosa: Pressure fightervsCharles Jourdain: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Julian Erosa wins(59.7%)
Actual result: Julian Erosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julian Erosa has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Jourdain (54.1%).
- Julian Erosa has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Julian Erosa
Red Corner
VS
Charles Jourdain
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
36
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Charles JourdainW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Sep 23L
vs Sean Woodson · Jan 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jun 24W
SUBvs Victor Henry · Nov 24W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julian ErosaMetricCharles Jourdain
6.18
Strikes / min
5.36
6.31
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
48%
Strike defense
56%
1.73
TDs / 15 min
0.38
61%
Takedown defense
46%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julian ErosaCharles Jourdain
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julian Erosa(10 fights)Charles Jourdain(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.826.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Charles Jourdain
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15