Featherweight
3 Rounds
Julian Erosa won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJulian Erosa: Pressure fightervsSteven Peterson: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Julian Erosa wins(67.1%)
Actual result: Julian Erosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julian Erosa (53.5%).
- Julian Erosa has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Julian Erosa
Red Corner
VS
Steven Peterson
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
36
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Steven Peterson
oldest →latest
L
vs Luis Pena · Mar 19L
vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19W
vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21L
vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julian ErosaMetricSteven Peterson
6.18
Strikes / min
4.76
6.31
Strikes absorbed / min
5.94
48%
Strike defense
53%
1.73
TDs / 15 min
1.42
61%
Takedown defense
64%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julian ErosaSteven Peterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julian Erosa(10 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.39.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Steven Peterson
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8