Featherweight
3 Rounds
Teruto Ishihara won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Julian Erosa wins(70.9%)
Actual result: Teruto Ishihara wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Teruto Ishihara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Teruto Ishihara is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Julian Erosa has lost 78% of fights by KO.
- Julian Erosa has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Julian Erosa has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Julian Erosa
Red Corner
VS
Teruto Ishihara
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
36
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Teruto IshiharaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Gray Maynard · Jul 17W
vs Rolando Dy · Sep 17L
vs Jose Quinonez · Feb 18L
KOvs Petr Yan · Jun 18L
SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julian ErosaMetricTeruto Ishihara
6.18
Strikes / min
3.26
6.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
48%
Strike defense
53%
1.73
TDs / 15 min
0.50
61%
Takedown defense
30%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julian ErosaTeruto Ishihara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julian Erosa(10 fights)Teruto Ishihara(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18
Teruto Ishihara
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8