Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gregory Rodrigues won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJulian Marquez: Pressure fightervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Julian Marquez wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Gregory Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julian Marquez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Gregory Rodrigues is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Julian Marquez has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Gregory Rodrigues has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Julian Marquez
Red Corner
VS
Gregory Rodrigues
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
36
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julian MarquezL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Feb 21W
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Apr 21L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Mar 23L
KOvs Zachary Reese · Jun 24L
KOvs Cody Brundage · Mar 25Gregory RodriguesW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25W
vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julian MarquezMetricGregory Rodrigues
5.06
Strikes / min
5.53
5.35
Strikes absorbed / min
4.78
50%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.90
54%
Takedown defense
75%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julian MarquezGregory Rodrigues
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julian Marquez(8 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.5-16.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+322.0-322.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Julian Marquez
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Gregory Rodrigues
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13