Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Carli Judice won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 21, 2026·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJuliana Miller: WrestlervsCarli Judice: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Juliana Miller wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Carli Judice wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carli Judice has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Carli Judice has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carli Judice (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Juliana Miller
Red Corner
VS
Carli Judice
Blue Corner
+590
(14%)
Vegas Odds
-850
(89%)
30
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Juliana Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brogan Walker · Aug 22L
vs Veronica Hardy · Mar 23L
KOvs Luana Santos · Aug 23W
vs Ivana Petrovic · May 25Carli JudiceW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Gabriella Fernandes · Jun 24W
KOvs Yuneisy Duben · Mar 25W
KOvs Nicolle Caliari · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Juliana MillerMetricCarli Judice
2.65
Strikes / min
9.32
4.14
Strikes absorbed / min
6.62
44%
Strike defense
57%
2.16
TDs / 15 min
0.52
44%
Takedown defense
80%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.49Δ 4.19 — meaningful gap+2.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Juliana MillerCarli Judice
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Juliana Miller(5 fights)Carli Judice(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Juliana Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5
Carli Judice
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4