Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Juliana Miller won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 3, 2025·Des Moines, Iowa, USA, USA
Style matchupJuliana Miller: WrestlervsIvana Petrovic: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Juliana Miller wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Juliana Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Juliana Miller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ivana Petrovic has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ivana Petrovic has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ivana Petrovic (53.5%).
- Ivana Petrovic has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Juliana Miller
Red Corner
VS
Ivana Petrovic
Blue Corner
+194
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
30
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Juliana MillerL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brogan Walker · Aug 22L
vs Veronica Hardy · Mar 23L
KOvs Luana Santos · Aug 23L
vs Carli Judice · Feb 26Ivana Petrovic
oldest →latest
L
vs Luana Carolina · Jul 23W
SUBvs Liang Na · Apr 24L
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Juliana MillerMetricIvana Petrovic
2.65
Strikes / min
1.91
4.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.05
44%
Strike defense
56%
2.16
TDs / 15 min
2.12
44%
Takedown defense
61%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.49Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Juliana MillerIvana Petrovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Juliana Miller(5 fights)Ivana Petrovic(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+448.0-448.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Juliana Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5
Ivana Petrovic
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4