Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Amanda Nunes won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, July 30, 2022·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Julianna Pena wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Amanda Nunes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amanda Nunes has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Julianna Pena
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Nunes
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julianna Pena
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Germaine de Randamie · Oct 20W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25Amanda Nunes
oldest →latest
W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Dec 19W
vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21W
vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julianna PenaMetricAmanda Nunes
3.10
Strikes / min
4.55
2.56
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
57%
Strike defense
57%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
2.73
24%
Takedown defense
82%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+1.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julianna PenaAmanda Nunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julianna Pena(10 fights)Amanda Nunes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-76.276.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Julianna Pena
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Amanda Nunes
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights18