Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Kayla Harrison won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 7, 2025·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Julianna Pena wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Kayla Harrison wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kayla Harrison threatens submissions; Julianna Pena has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Kayla Harrison has 76pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kayla Harrison (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Julianna Pena
Red Corner
VS
Kayla Harrison
Blue Corner
+500
(17%)
Vegas Odds
-700
(88%)
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julianna Pena
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Germaine de Randamie · Oct 20W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24Kayla HarrisonW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Holly Holm · Apr 24W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julianna PenaMetricKayla Harrison
3.10
Strikes / min
4.29
2.56
Strikes absorbed / min
1.10
57%
Strike defense
66%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
2.84
24%
Takedown defense
100%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap+3.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julianna PenaKayla Harrison
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julianna Pena(10 fights)Kayla Harrison(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.8-46.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Julianna Pena
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Kayla Harrison
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3