Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Julianna Pena won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, January 23, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Julianna Pena wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Julianna Pena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julianna Pena has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sara McMann has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Julianna Pena
Red Corner
VS
Sara McMann
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
36
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julianna Pena
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Germaine de Randamie · Oct 20W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25Sara McMannW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Gina Mazany · Feb 17L
SUBvs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 17L
SUBvs Marion Reneau · Feb 18W
vs Lina Lansberg · Jan 20W
vs Karol Rosa · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julianna PenaMetricSara McMann
3.10
Strikes / min
2.26
2.56
Strikes absorbed / min
1.92
57%
Strike defense
47%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
4.38
24%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julianna PenaSara McMann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julianna Pena(10 fights)Sara McMann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.0-22.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-252.0252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Julianna Pena
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12
Sara McMann
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights13