Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Julio Arce won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 9, 2022·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupJulio Arce: Well-roundedvsDaniel Santos: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Daniel Santos wins(54.2%)
Actual result: Julio Arce wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Santos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Julio Arce has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Julio Arce has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julio Arce (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Julio Arce
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Santos
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
36
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julio Arce
oldest →latest
L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Nov 19W
KOvs Andre Ewell · Jul 21L
KOvs Song Yadong · Nov 21L
vs Montel Jackson · Nov 22W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Mar 24Daniel SantosW4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs John Castaneda · Oct 22W
vs Johnny Munoz · Jun 23W
vs JeongYeong Lee · May 25W
KOvs JooSang Yoo · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julio ArceMetricDaniel Santos
4.36
Strikes / min
4.76
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
5.03
68%
Strike defense
51%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
3.01
96%
Takedown defense
73%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.31Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julio ArceDaniel Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julio Arce(10 fights)Daniel Santos(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.8-13.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Julio Arce
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Daniel Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights5