Featherweight
3 Rounds
Hakeem Dawodu won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2019·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJulio Arce: Well-roundedvsHakeem Dawodu: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Julio Arce wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Hakeem Dawodu wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julio Arce has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Julio Arce has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julio Arce (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Julio Arce
Red Corner
VS
Hakeem Dawodu
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
36
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julio Arce
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Andre Ewell · Jul 21L
KOvs Song Yadong · Nov 21W
vs Daniel Santos · Apr 22L
vs Montel Jackson · Nov 22W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Mar 24Hakeem DawoduL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jun 21W
vs Michael Trizano · Feb 22L
vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22L
vs Cub Swanson · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julio ArceMetricHakeem Dawodu
4.36
Strikes / min
5.45
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
68%
Strike defense
56%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
0.00
96%
Takedown defense
65%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.31evenly matched on net striking+2.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Julio ArceHakeem Dawodu
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julio Arce(10 fights)Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.54.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Julio Arce
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Hakeem Dawodu
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10