Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Andrei Arlovski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2017·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Style matchupJunior Albini: Well-roundedvsAndrei Arlovski: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Junior Albini wins(61.6%)
Actual result: Andrei Arlovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Albini enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Junior Albini has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Junior Albini
Red Corner
VS
Andrei Arlovski
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
35
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior AlbiniL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Johnson · Jul 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · May 18L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 19L
KOvs Maurice Greene · Jun 19Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior AlbiniMetricAndrei Arlovski
3.98
Strikes / min
3.82
6.08
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
52%
Strike defense
57%
1.54
TDs / 15 min
0.37
100%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.10Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Junior AlbiniAndrei Arlovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Albini(5 fights)Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.4-25.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Junior Albini
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27