Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 2, 2019·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJunior Albini: Well-roundedvsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Junior Albini wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Albini enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Junior Albini has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Junior Albini has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Junior Albini
Red Corner
VS
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
35
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior AlbiniL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Johnson · Jul 17L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Nov 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · May 18L
KOvs Maurice Greene · Jun 19Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior AlbiniMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
3.98
Strikes / min
3.48
6.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
52%
Strike defense
52%
1.54
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.10Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Junior AlbiniJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Albini(5 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.912.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.748.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Junior Albini
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15