Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alistair Overeem won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 19, 2015·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupJunior Dos Santos: StrikervsAlistair Overeem: Elusive striker
Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Alistair Overeem wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Junior Dos Santos
Red Corner
VS
Alistair Overeem
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
42
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior Dos SantosMetricAlistair Overeem
4.49
Strikes / min
3.67
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
1.42
81%
Takedown defense
73%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16evenly matched on net striking+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Junior Dos SantosAlistair Overeem
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Alistair Overeem(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.9-44.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Junior Dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20