Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Cain Velasquez won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, December 29, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJunior Dos Santos: StrikervsCain Velasquez: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Cain Velasquez wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Cain Velasquez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Cain Velasquez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Cain Velasquez is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Junior Dos Santos
Red Corner
VS
Cain Velasquez
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20Cain Velasquez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Antonio Silva · May 13W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Oct 13L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 15W
KOvs Travis Browne · Jul 16L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior Dos SantosMetricCain Velasquez
4.49
Strikes / min
6.37
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.33
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
5.13
81%
Takedown defense
85%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16Δ 2.88 — meaningful gap+4.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Junior Dos SantosCain Velasquez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Cain Velasquez(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Junior Dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Cain Velasquez
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9