Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Junior Dos Santos won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 1, 2018·Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJunior Dos Santos: StrikervsTai Tuivasa: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Junior Dos Santos wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Junior Dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Junior Dos Santos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Junior Dos Santos
Red Corner
VS
Tai Tuivasa
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
42
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior Dos SantosMetricTai Tuivasa
4.49
Strikes / min
3.37
3.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
56%
Strike defense
42%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
0.00
81%
Takedown defense
58%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16Δ 2.40 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Junior Dos SantosTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.4-21.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Junior Dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17