Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Billy Elekana won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 31, 2026·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Billy Elekana wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Billy Elekana wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Billy Elekana threatens submissions; Junior Tafa has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Junior Tafa has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Billy Elekana (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Junior Tafa
Red Corner
VS
Billy Elekana
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-270
(73%)
29
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Tafa
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Parker Porter · Aug 23L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Aug 24W
KOvs Sean Sharaf · Oct 24L
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · Jul 25Billy ElekanaW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Jan 25W
vs Ibo Aslan · Jul 25W
SUBvs Kevin Christian · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior TafaMetricBilly Elekana
3.62
Strikes / min
2.71
2.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.59
51%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.85
72%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Junior TafaBilly Elekana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Tafa(7 fights)Billy Elekana(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.245.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Junior Tafa
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7
Billy Elekana
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4