Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Valter Walker won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2024·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJunior Tafa: StrikervsValter Walker: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Junior Tafa wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Valter Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valter Walker enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Valter Walker threatens submissions; Junior Tafa has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Junior Tafa has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Junior Tafa
Red Corner
VS
Valter Walker
Blue Corner
+114
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
29
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'6"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior TafaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Parker Porter · Aug 23L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 24W
KOvs Sean Sharaf · Oct 24L
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · Jul 25L
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 26Valter WalkerW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Lukasz Brzeski · Apr 24W
SUBvs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 25W
SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 25W
SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior TafaMetricValter Walker
3.62
Strikes / min
2.00
2.66
Strikes absorbed / min
2.85
51%
Strike defense
42%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
5.74
72%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Junior TafaValter Walker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Tafa(7 fights)Valter Walker(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.9-3.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
Junior Tafa
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7
Valter Walker
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5