Flyweight
3 Rounds
Brandon Moreno won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2020·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Jussier Formiga wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Brandon Moreno wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jussier Formiga
Red Corner
VS
Brandon Moreno
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
41
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ben Nguyen · Feb 18W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24W
vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24W
vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricBrandon Moreno
1.42
Strikes / min
3.84
2.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
64%
Strike defense
59%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
1.36
87%
Takedown defense
65%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jussier FormigaBrandon Moreno
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Brandon Moreno(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.6-40.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Jussier Formiga
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16
Brandon Moreno
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18