Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jussier Formiga won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 18, 2013·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Chris Cariaso wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Jussier Formiga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jussier Formiga has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Cariaso (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jussier Formiga
Red Corner
VS
Chris Cariaso
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20Chris CariasoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Danny Martinez · Feb 14W
vs Louis Smolka · May 14L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Sep 14L
vs Henry Cejudo · Mar 15L
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricChris Cariaso
1.42
Strikes / min
3.35
2.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
64%
Strike defense
61%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
1.11
87%
Takedown defense
57%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jussier FormigaChris Cariaso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Chris Cariaso(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.442.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+85.0-85.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-3.03.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jussier Formiga
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16
Chris Cariaso
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13