Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jussier Formiga won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 24, 2016·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Dustin Ortiz wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Jussier Formiga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jussier Formiga has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jussier Formiga
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Ortiz
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
41
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20Dustin Ortiz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricDustin Ortiz
1.42
Strikes / min
2.94
2.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
64%
Strike defense
56%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
3.01
87%
Takedown defense
52%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jussier FormigaDustin Ortiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.3-7.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jussier Formiga
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16
Dustin Ortiz
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14