Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jussier Formiga won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Sunday, March 23, 2014·Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Scott Jorgensen wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Jussier Formiga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Jorgensen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jussier Formiga has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jussier Formiga
Red Corner
VS
Scott Jorgensen
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20Scott JorgensenL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 13W
vs Danny Martinez · Jun 14L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Oct 14L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jul 15L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricScott Jorgensen
1.42
Strikes / min
3.37
2.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.41
64%
Strike defense
65%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
2.61
87%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jussier FormigaScott Jorgensen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Scott Jorgensen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.8-8.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+101.0-101.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jussier Formiga
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16
Scott Jorgensen
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights12