Welterweight
3 Rounds
Justin Edwards won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2011·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupJustin Edwards: WrestlervsJorge Lopez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Justin Edwards wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Justin Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Lopez has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Justin Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Lopez
Blue Corner
+320
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-390
(80%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
183 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs John Maguire · Nov 11W
SUBvs Josh Neer · Oct 12L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Aug 13L
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jan 14L
SUBvs Joe Proctor · Jun 15Jorge Lopez
oldest →latest
L
vs Amir Sadollah · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin EdwardsMetricJorge Lopez
2.68
Strikes / min
2.47
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
51%
Strike defense
50%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
3.50
27%
Takedown defense
81%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin EdwardsJorge Lopez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Edwards(7 fights)Jorge Lopez(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Justin Edwards
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Jorge Lopez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2