Lightweight
3 Rounds
Justin Lawrence won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Friday, June 1, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJustin Lawrence: Elusive strikervsJohn Cofer: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Justin Lawrence wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Justin Lawrence wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Lawrence is a KO finisher (100% of wins). John Cofer has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Cofer (53.5%).
- John Cofer has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Justin Lawrence
Red Corner
VS
John Cofer
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
36
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin LawrenceL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 12L
SUBvs Daniel Pineda · Apr 13John Cofer
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Mike Rio · Dec 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin LawrenceMetricJohn Cofer
3.84
Strikes / min
2.73
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
67%
Strike defense
62%
0.72
TDs / 15 min
1.22
73%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.01Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap-0.70
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Lawrence(3 fights)John Cofer(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Justin Lawrence
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3
John Cofer
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2